Dollar holds firm against euro, yen as US trade pressure mounts

DemiSci/Tech2025-07-049999

By Rocky Swift

TOKYO (Reuters) -The dollar held gains on Friday after President Donald Trump got his signature tax cut bill across the final hurdle and pressure mounted on countries to secure trade deals with the United States.

The greenback rallied from multi-year lows against the euro and the British pound hit earlier in the week after stronger than expected U.S. jobs data pushed out the timing for potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

The Republican-controlled House of Representatives narrowly passed Trump's "One, Big, Beautiful Bill" of spending and tax cuts that is estimated to add $3.4 trillion to the nation's $36.2 trillion debt. Trump is expected to sign the bill into law on Friday.

With the U.S. closed for Independence Day, attention turns to Trump's July 9 deadline when sweeping tariffs take effect on countries like Japan that have not yet secured trade agreements.

"The dynamic is raising questions about fiscal sustainability and bond market stability," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, referring to the bill's passage.

"However, for now, those risks are being looked through as the markets embrace signs of labour market resilience and hopes for further U.S. trade deals."

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against major peers, had its worst first half since 1973 as Trump's chaotic roll-out of sweeping tariffs stoked concerns about the U.S. economy and the safety of Treasuries.

The gauge stood little changed at 97.056 after a 0.4% advance on Thursday. The euro edged up 0.1% to $1.1765.

Trump said the U.S. will start sending letters to countries on Friday specifying what tariff rates they will face, a shift from earlier pledges to ink individual deals.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the common-currency bloc was aiming for a trade agreement "in principle" with the U.S. before the deadline. Japan, which has been a focus of Trump's ire of late, is reportedly sending its chief trade negotiator to the U.S. again as early as this weekend.

On the data front, the U.S. Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Thursday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 147,000 jobs in June, well ahead of economists' forecast in a Reuters poll for a rise of 110,000.

"The U.S. labour market is gradually slowing down, but the fact that it hasn't experienced a sudden change is reassuring," said SMBC chief currency strategist Hirofumi Suzuki.

"I personally predict that the tariff negotiations will not be very favourable, leading to continued dollar weakness and yen strength."

繼續閱讀

Market expectations that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its July meeting are now at 94.8% probability, up from 76.2% on July 2, according to the CME's Fedwatch tool.

Economists continue to expect the Fed would not start cutting rates again until September or even later.

The dollar slid 0.2% to 144.69 yen, trimming a 0.8% surge in the previous session. Sterling was little changed at $1.36495.

(Reporting by Rocky SwiftEditing by Shri Navaratnam)

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Thatcher

As U.S.-led trade tensions intensify, the resilience of dollar against major currencies like euro and yen underscores its safe-haven status amid growing uncertainty in global markets.

2025-07-08 12:30:06 reply
Alaric

The resilience of the dollar against both euro and yen amid rising US trade tensions underscores its role as a safe haven asset, reflecting global investors' perceived strength in U.S economic fundamentals.

2025-07-08 23:09:17 reply
Adrian

The resilience of the US dollar against European euro and Japanese yen despite growing trade tensions highlights its safe-haven status as a credible store value amidst global economic uncertainty, particularly with countries struggling to contain their own monetary weaknesses.

2025-07-08 23:09:33 reply
Ameer

The resilience of the US Dollar against both Euro and Yen despite escalating US trade pressures underscores its safe-haven status, providing a cushion for international investors seeking to mitigate economic uncertainty.

2025-07-08 23:09:47 reply
Memphis

The resilient performance of the dollar against both euro and yen reflect a combination factors including increased US trade pressures, which have investors seeking safe haven assets amidst ongoing concerns over global economic equilibrium.

2025-07-14 06:41:16 reply
Isaias

In the face of escalating US trade pressure, a stronger dollar against both euro and yen remains resilient as market participants reassess risk tolerances.

2025-07-14 06:41:32 reply
Neil

As U.S.-based companies face mounting trade tensions, the Dollar remains resilient against both Euro and Yen due in part to its perceived stability amid volatile global economic conditions.

2025-07-15 11:10:23 reply
Brixton

This article signals a stalwart stance by the US dollar amidst escalating trade pressures, demonstrating its resilience against major counterparts like euro and yen despite headwinds from domestic economic worries.

2025-07-15 11:10:37 reply
Nora

The resilience of the dollar against both euro and yen, even amidst rising US trade tensions with major economies highlights its safe-haven status that continues to attract long term investors seeking protection from market volatility.

2025-07-27 14:17:52 reply

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