Betting on Thunder to Win NBA Finals Game 5: A Smart Move with Favorable Odds

XanderSports2025-06-241120

The Oklahoma City Thunder continued their impressive run in the NBA Finals, defeating the Indiana Pacers 111-104 in Game 4 on Friday night. Despite entering the series as huge -700 favorites at BetMGM, the series is now tied 2-2 and has been highly competitive. Oklahoma City remains an overwhelming -625 favorite to win the series with two potential home games remaining, while Indiana is a +450 underdog. For Game 5, Oklahoma City is a 9.5-point home favorite with a total of 224.5 points. Handicapper Michael Fiddle has expressed his preference for Oklahoma City on the moneyline at -405, stating that this is the basement price for OKC correlated to -9.5. He believes that late action on the Thunder will push the line higher, closing around -415 or -420 consensus price, making it worth it to be ahead. Fiddle also noted that he prefers the moneyline to the spread because Indiana tends to play game-theory optimal late in games when down, with fast possessions, high volume 3s, low turnovers, and various players looking to create. Oklahoma City has been insanely dominant at home this postseason, going 9-2 with a +236 point differential through 11 games. The Thunder's impressive run in the NBA Finals has been fueled by their strong play at home, where they have been nearly unbeatable. With two potential home games remaining in the series, Oklahoma City's dominance at home is likely to continue, making them a strong bet to win the series and advance to the next round of the playoffs.

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